Estimating the number of COVID vaccine deaths in America By Jessica Rose, Mathew Crawford
Abstract: Analysis of the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) database can be used to estimate the number of excess deaths caused by the COVID vaccines. A simple analysis shows that it is likely that over 150,000 Americans have been killed by the current COVID vaccines as of Aug 28, 2021. The Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) database is the only pharmacovigilance database used by FDA and CDC that is accessible to the public. It is the only database to which the public can voluntarily report injuries or deaths following vaccinations. Medical professionals and pharmaceutical manufacturers are mandated to report serious injuries or deaths to VAERS following vaccinations when they are made aware of them. It is a “passive” system with uncertain reporting rates. VAERS is called the “early warning system” because it is intended to reveal early signals of problems, which can then be evaluated carefully by using an “active” surveillance system. The VAERS database can be used to estimate the number of deaths caused by the COVID vaccines using the following method: 1. Determine the significant adverse event under-reporting multiplier by using a known significant adverse event rate 2. Determine the number of US deaths reported into VAERS 3. Determine the propensity to report significant adverse events this year 4. Estimate the number of excess deaths using these numbers 5. Validate the result using independent methods
Estimating the number of COVID vaccine deaths in America By Jessica Rose, Mathew Crawford Abstract: Analysis of the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) database can be used to estimate the number of excess deaths caused by the COVID vaccines. A simple analysis shows that it is likely that over 150,000 Americans have been killed by the current COVID vaccines as of Aug 28, 2021. The Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) database is the only pharmacovigilance database used by FDA and CDC that is accessible to the public. It is the only database to which the public can voluntarily report injuries or deaths following vaccinations. Medical professionals and pharmaceutical manufacturers are mandated to report serious injuries or deaths to VAERS following vaccinations when they are made aware of them. It is a “passive” system with uncertain reporting rates. VAERS is called the “early warning system” because it is intended to reveal early signals of problems, which can then be evaluated carefully by using an “active” surveillance system. The VAERS database can be used to estimate the number of deaths caused by the COVID vaccines using the following method: 1. Determine the significant adverse event under-reporting multiplier by using a known significant adverse event rate 2. Determine the number of US deaths reported into VAERS 3. Determine the propensity to report significant adverse events this year 4. Estimate the number of excess deaths using these numbers 5. Validate the result using independent methods
Estimating the number of COVID vaccine deaths in America By Jessica Rose, Mathew Crawford Abstract: Analysis of the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) database can be used to estimate the number of excess deaths caused by the COVID vaccines. A simple analysis shows that it is likely that over 150,000 Americans have been killed by the current COVID vaccines as of Aug 28, 2021. The Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS) database is the only pharmacovigilance database used by FDA and CDC that is accessible to the public. It is the only database to which the public can voluntarily report injuries or deaths following vaccinations. Medical professionals and pharmaceutical manufacturers are mandated to report serious injuries or deaths to VAERS following vaccinations when they are made aware of them. It is a “passive” system with uncertain reporting rates. VAERS is called the “early warning system” because it is intended to reveal early signals of problems, which can then be evaluated carefully by using an “active” surveillance system. The VAERS database can be used to estimate the number of deaths caused by the COVID vaccines using the following method: 1. Determine the significant adverse event under-reporting multiplier by using a known significant adverse event rate 2. Determine the number of US deaths reported into VAERS 3. Determine the propensity to report significant adverse events this year 4. Estimate the number of excess deaths using these numbers 5. Validate the result using independent methods
日本で接種が進められている新型コロナワクチンにはどのような効果(発症予防、持続期間)がありますか。|新型コロナワクチンQ&A|厚生労働省 https://www.cov19-vaccine.mhlw.go.jp/qa/0011.html ワクチンの効果等に関する知見(第20回 厚生科学審議会予防接種・ワクチン分科会資料より抜粋) CDC. April 2, 2021; 70(13);495-500 (Interim Estimates of Vaccine Effectiveness of BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 COVID-19 Vaccines in Preventing SARS-CoV-2 Infection Among Health Care Personnel, First Responders, and Other Essential and Frontline Workers -- Eight U.S. Locations, December 2020-March 2021) N Engl J Med. 2021; 384:1412-1423 (BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine in a Nationwide Mass Vaccination Setting) Lancet. 2021; S0140-6736(21)00947-8 (Impact and effectiveness of mRNA BNT162b2 vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 infections and COVID-19 cases, hospitalisations, and deaths following a nationwide vaccination campaign in Israel: an observational study using national surveillance data) ファイザー社のプレスリリース モデルナ社のプレスリリース